OpinionAI and compute

AI is not slop

Catalogue number AW 0001

Calling AI slop mistakes cheap memes for frontier science, and leaves people, businesses and public services in Wales unready for what comes next.

An uncanny grinning family with fused hands and twin dogs, beside an android helping children with a model water wheel.
AI-generated images

Abundance StaffPublished Last updated 9 min read

Opinion: this piece argues a case. The strongest arguments against it are set out below. Room for disagreement

Scroll any social feed and you will encounter what many people now call “AI slop”. A hand with six fingers. A cat playing the cello. A poster in a newsfeed that looks like a copy of so many others. For many people, this is what “AI” now means. The word has become shorthand for cheap, low-effort content, and the insult of choice is “slop”. In Wales, as everywhere, that word is shaping how people, businesses and public services feel about the technology.

That is a mistake, and it could be an expensive one.

Some online content really is AI slop

Start with what the critics get right. A lot of AI content online is poor. Using a detection tool on 10,000 web pages sampled in July 2026, the Pew Research Center found that “10% show significant signs of AI authorship”.

But the junk on a newsfeed only tells you about the incentives of that feed.

But the junk on a newsfeed only tells you about the incentives of that feed. It doesn’t provide an accurate picture of the way that AI technology is about to transform the world we know. Judging AI by the memes you see on social media is like judging the printing press by its early works.

What the word hides

AI and automation are doing serious work. In computing, AI already writes a large share of new code at some firms. In Stack Overflow’s 2026 survey of more than 30,000 developers, two-thirds said they use AI coding assistants or agents, and 73% of those use them every day. Anthropic’s finance chief says more than 90% of the company’s code is now written by its own AI.

In maths, an OpenAI model in May disproved a geometry conjecture Paul Erdős set out in 1946. Nature said it was “cracked by an artificial-intelligence chatbot after a single prompt”. The mathematician Timothy Gowers, in commentary requested by OpenAI, wrote: “No previous AI-generated proof has come close”.

In medicine, the NHS in south-east England is rolling out AI skin-cancer checks “across 18 acute trusts from this autumn”. At Buckinghamshire Healthcare, “35% of patients assessed using DERM have been safely discharged with no further action needed”.

This is the abundance view. Peter Diamandis, whose weekly Moonshots podcast tracks technology, has made the case in his books. His website says they show “how technology is turning areas of scarcity into abundance”. The breakthroughs are real, and “slop” hides them.

The capability gap

Most people judge AI by the output from free AI models and their easily produced content, not by the best frontier AI models. Card data in a Harvard Business School working paper suggest only about 2.9% of US consumers paid for a major AI service in April 2026. Among US AI users, Menlo Ventures found 55% pay, so few pay only across the population as a whole. Frontier models, the most capable systems from the leading labs, are on a different level.

Their builders make bold forecasts, and have a commercial stake in the answer. In September, OpenAI’s Sam Altman said that a year earlier he had not expected a short path to superintelligence: “Now I think it may happen. I’m not confident it’s going to happen.” In June, Anthropic’s Dario Amodei wrote that a year or two more of scaling would likely bring “a country of geniuses in a datacenter”. Elon Musk claims Tesla will make 20,000 Optimus robots a week by the end of 2027.

Frontier models, the most capable systems from the leading labs, are on a different level.

These are forecasts, and some have already slipped. But an outside measure points the same way. On data from the research group METR, the length of task AI agents can complete has doubled about every 129 days since 2023. METR stopped updating its measure in September 2026, and its tasks are mostly software. If your picture of AI comes from a meme generator, it is already out of date.

The next two years

If you think AI models are slop, you are in for a big surprise over the next two years.

Many people will feel it first at work, especially in knowledge work. A UK government assessment in January 2026, citing IMF estimates, said around 70% of UK workers are in jobs with tasks that AI could perform or enhance.

The Office for National Statistics found that 30% of UK businesses used at least one AI technology in September 2026. For businesses with 250 or more staff it was 51%, up from 19% in 2023. So far, 6% of AI-using firms with 10 or more staff say AI has cut their headcount.

In October, Barclays said it expects to cut about 5,000 jobs as part of a modernisation plan. Its finance chief said around 60% of the changes are in support functions, “including fewer developers as AI makes our people more productive”. As the BBC noted, “not all of the cuts are due to AI”.

Dismissing AI and automation as a joke will not slow this transformation down.

That does not mean every job disappears. There are always new jobs that appear with new technology. Dismissing AI and automation as a joke will not slow this transformation down. It will just leave people unprepared for what is to come.

Then come the robots

On 21 October Tesla said it had started production of its Optimus humanoid robot in Fremont, California, on a line that built Model S and Model X cars until earlier this year. Musk calls it “early production”.

Today the clips that go viral are the pratfalls. Yet at the second World Humanoid Robot Games in Beijing in August, a robot called Tiangong Ultra ran 100 metres in 8.64 seconds.

But balance and handling unfamiliar objects are among the hardest problems in engineering, and the progress is real.

But balance and handling unfamiliar objects are among the hardest problems in engineering, and the progress is real. Figure says pretraining lifted its Helix 2.5 robot’s success at chores in homes it had never seen from 9% to 56%. Google DeepMind says Gemini Robotics 2 can control “full humanoids, from feet to fingertips”, though it admits “multi-finger dexterous manipulation remains challenging”. These are company claims, but the pratfall is the early draft, not the final product.

A new mindset is required

The AI and automation revolution is likely to cause significant disruption in the world economy. It will transform everything from how we work to how we run public services. Some of that will hurt, and the people who bear it deserve honesty and support.

But the gains could be enormous, and some are already visible. In Bradford, AI skin checks mean “32 patients can be seen in each session, compared to 24 before”. In September Insilico Medicine began what it calls the first Phase III trial of a drug found with generative AI. On farms, John Deere says customers using its camera-guided See & Spray system are “achieving more than 50% herbicide savings”. In factories, a Rockwell Automation plant in Singapore reports that AI and other digital tools “increased units per person-hour by 43%”. Deere and Rockwell report their own figures. The head of the Bank for International Settlements says task-level studies show generative AI delivering “productivity gains of between 10 and 65%”. Together they point to earlier diagnosis, new medicines, cleaner farming, more productive factories and more time for the work only people can do. They depend on choices made now.

Wales is not starting from nothing. A May 2025 ONS survey, cited in the AI Plan for Wales, found that just under half of responding Welsh businesses (49%) were not using AI, slightly lower than the 56% across the UK. That is a base to build on, but it still leaves almost half on the sidelines.

So we need to treat AI as a serious tool, not a punchline or an easy insult. Public services can implement AI and automation with proper safeguards and make huge savings and productivity gains, but must support staff during the transition. Private sector businesses can completely transform their models and processes. Employees can be given the skills to move into better work.

So we need to treat AI as a serious tool, not a punchline or an easy insult.

The “AI is slop” mindset feels safe, because it lets us laugh at this daunting technology and dismiss it as another tech bubble ready to pop. A more productive mindset is to be curious and prepared. Call out the junk, then look past it, because what sits behind it will shape the next decade in Wales.

Catalogue number AW 0001

The strongest case against this view, as fairly as we can put it.

  1. The hype comes from people selling AI. Many of the boldest claims come from lab leaders whose companies need investment and customers. Some forecasts have already slipped. In 2024 Musk said Tesla would hopefully build Optimus robots in high volume for other companies in 2026. Electrek reported on 22 October that he now says deliveries to outside customers will start "around the end of 2027". Altman says he is "not confident", and Amodei's forecast depends on scaling holding. Independent proof of gains is thin. In February 2026, METR said its latest trial gave "an unreliable signal" of AI's effect on developers' productivity, though it believes they are likely being sped up. Only 6.6% of developers in Stack Overflow's survey trust AI with important decisions. Sceptics argue the public should trust what it can see, not what it is promised.

    Electrek, Tesla Optimus deliveries slip to late 202722 Oct 2026

  2. Slop does real harm. Low-quality and fake content clogs feeds, misleads people and defrauds them. Pew's figures suggest the scale on the open web. It may also harm AI itself. A peer-reviewed study in npj Artificial Intelligence (4 July 2026) warns that training on AI-made data leads to "model collapse, where model performance degrades over generations of training, eventually rendering the models ineffective". It cites projections that most new training data could be machine-generated by 2030. Critics say calling the word unfair plays down a problem that platforms and regulators have yet to solve.

    npj Artificial Intelligence, ForTIFAI model-collapse study4 Jul 2026

  3. Disruption is not shared fairly. Even if the technology is powerful, the gains may go to a few large firms while the job losses fall on workers and places with less to fall back on, like Wales. On this view, scepticism is a reasonable response to a change people did not choose and may not benefit from.

Links checked on 27 October 2026.

  1. Pew Research Center, How much of the internet is written with AI?, 20 Aug 2026: https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2026/08/20/how-much-of-the-internet-is-written-with-ai/
  2. Stack Overflow Developer Survey 2026, AI section, 6 Oct 2026: https://survey.stackoverflow.co/2026/ai
  3. Stack Overflow, press release on the 2026 Developer Survey, 6 Oct 2026: https://stackoverflow.co/company/press/archive/stack-overflow-annual-developer-survey-ai-trust-conditional/
  4. TechSpot, Anthropic: more than 90% of code now written by AI, 14 May 2026: https://www.techspot.com/news/112408-anthropic-more-than-90-code-now-written-ai.html
  5. Nature, news on the Erdős geometry problem cracked by an AI chatbot, May 2026: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-01651-0
  6. Scientific American, AI solves an 80-year-old Erdős problem, 21 May 2026: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-just-solved-an-80-year-old-erdos-problem-and-mathematicians-are-amazed/
  7. NHS England South East, New AI skin cancer checks, 8 Oct 2026: https://www.england.nhs.uk/south-east/2026/10/08/new-ai-skin-cancer-checks-to-cut-waits-and-speed-up-care-in-the-south-east/
  8. Peter Diamandis, Moonshots podcast page (undated page): https://www.diamandis.com/podcast
  9. Peter Diamandis, Transforming scarcity to abundance (undated page): https://www.diamandis.com/transforming-scarcity-to-abundance
  10. Harvard Business School, Working Paper 27-037, 16 Oct 2026: https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/27-037_696c8ae5-6d49-4b7d-a2ec-e02c45f78ddb.pdf
  11. Menlo Ventures, 2026: The State of Consumer AI, 16 Sep 2026: https://menlovc.com/perspective/2026-the-state-of-consumer-ai/
  12. Sam Altman on Sources with Alex Heath, 1 Sep 2026: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeizK1M7V7E (transcript: https://bidclub.ai/e/sam-altman-openai-s-next-model-ai-backlash)
  13. Dario Amodei, Policy on the AI Exponential, June 2026: https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential
  14. TechCrunch, Tesla starts Optimus robot production in California, 21 Oct 2026: https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/21/tesla-stars-optimus-robot-production-in-california-as-profit-falls-43/
  15. METR, Time Horizons (last updated 8 Sep 2026): https://metr.org/time-horizons/
  16. DSIT, Assessment of AI capabilities and the impact on the UK labour market, 28 Jan 2026: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/assessment-of-ai-capabilities-and-the-impact-on-the-uk-labour-market/assessment-of-ai-capabilities-and-the-impact-on-the-uk-labour-market
  17. ONS, Business insights and impact on the UK economy, 8 Oct 2026: https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/businessservices/bulletins/businessinsightsandimpactontheukeconomy/8october2026
  18. The Motley Fool, Barclays Q3 2026 earnings call transcript, 22 Oct 2026: https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/10/22/barclays-bcs-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript/
  19. BBC News, Barclays job cuts, 22 Oct 2026: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cm4g1p347qgxo
  20. Business Insider, Tesla starts producing Optimus robots at its Fremont factory, Oct 2026: https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-starts-producing-optimus-robots-at-its-fremont-factory-2026-10
  21. Global Times, World Humanoid Robot Games close in Beijing, 26 Aug 2026: https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202608/1369085.shtml
  22. Figure, Helix 2.5, 17 Sep 2026: https://www.figure.ai/news/helix-2-5-zero-shot-30-home-generalization
  23. Google DeepMind, Gemini Robotics 2, 30 Jul 2026: https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-robotics-2-brings-whole-body-intelligence-to-robots/
  24. BBC News, AI skin checks in Bradford, 5 Oct 2026: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ck5yw5e9pnrzo
  25. Insilico Medicine, first patient dosed in GENESIS-IPF-3 Phase III trial, 10 Sep 2026: https://insilico.com/news/isn1009261-insilico-medicine-doses-first-patient-genesis-ipf-3
  26. Deere & Company, Q3 2026 earnings call transcript (Deanna Kovar), 20 Aug 2026: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/de/transcripts/564523-q3-2026/
  27. World Economic Forum, new Global Lighthouse sites, 22 Jun 2026: https://www.weforum.org/press/2026/06/new-global-lighthouse-sites-demonstrate-how-ai-is-rewiring-manufacturing-and-supply-chains/
  28. Bank for International Settlements, speech by Pablo Hernández de Cos, 10 Sep 2026: https://www.bis.org/speeches/20260910-artificial-intelligence-growth-and-financial-stability-challenges-central-banks
  29. Welsh Government, Wales Economic and Fiscal Report 2025, Oct 2025 (updated 3 Nov 2025), reporting ONS BICS Wave 135, May 2025, pp. 23 to 24: https://www.gov.wales/sites/default/files/publications/2025-11/wales-economic-and-fiscal-report-2025.pdf
  30. Welsh Government, AI Plan for Wales, 18 Nov 2025: https://www.gov.wales/ai-plan-for-wales-html
  31. Electrek, Tesla Optimus deliveries slip to late 2027, 22 Oct 2026: https://electrek.co/2026/10/22/tesla-optimus-delivery-late-2027-hands-ai-problems/
  32. METR, uplift study update, 24 Feb 2026: https://metr.org/blog/2026-02-24-uplift-update/
  33. npj Artificial Intelligence, ForTIFAI model-collapse study, 4 Jul 2026: https://www.nature.com/articles/s44387-026-00127-w

No corrections. If you spot an error, tell us.

Abundance Wales (2026). AI is not slop. Published 27 October 2026. Catalogue number AW 0001. abundance.wales/aw/0001/